Whether governments fall or remain on the Treasury benches, the smart punter can cash in on individual seat betting in federal elections. That is where the value always lies.
While the head to head markets did shift last week (Labor in to $1.25 from $1.40, Coalition out from $2.40 to $3.50), the individual seat markets barely moved at all. Punters might have thought it was too early or indeed they might have been so fixated on the car crash within the Liberal Party they ran out of time to have a lash.
Individual seat betting markets have only just started to reflect the events of last week and the impact on the broad electorate. If political punters are going to have a bet on the next federal election, now is the time because the value is not likely to last. The downside to this approach is the heightened risk associated with punting on the outcome of an election that may be eight months away. Scott Morrison might stage a comeback, the swings against the Coalition may well be less than expected or nothing at all.
Full column here.
More data showing it is Renewables that is providing the “baseload” power when most needed. This comes as the right wing conservative coalition ignore the fact wholesale power price will half Because of Renewables. Every decision the coalition make Costs Australia more in every sense. You can bet on that. No surprises.
https://reneweconomy.com.au/myths-of-baseload-and-intermittent-energy-its-not-what-you-think-10399/
lets give customers the choice
I will pay more to have my business run on old fashioned coal, 24-7-365, and you can choose renewables.
of course we would need to cut you off from time to time.
Ah yes, but the rich are getting richer. They who die with the most money win, and time is limited.
Never bet on anything that can talk.
Yvonne can put her money on if Dismayed is not on the comment it is not me. Yvonne your obsession is out of control probably best if you don’t gamble any further. There are better odds in this article the on any all powerful being showing up to save anyone. Put your money on that. Was that clear or was it garbled like I was talking in tongues? Actually my experience at the big hall in baulkham hills some time ago at the behest of a close mate lets say a brethren led me to think those that were talking in tongues sounded like they were talking in Arabic? What are the odds hey? It is odds one they will want you to tithe 20% of your income that is for sure?
” ……. talking in tongues sounded like they were talking in Arabic?”
Given your disposition for demeaning anything that has even a remote connection to religion, casting aspersions upon our Arab friends is a sin Dismayed. You should be ashamed of yourself.
Wazzock
Regarding having a punt on the next election irrespective of who wins, the old adage – “Gambling is a sure way of getting nothing for something” has never been more appropriate.
How is Dismayed casting aspersions on our Arab friends Carl? I too have attended a service where they were talking in tongues and they did sound like they were talking in Arabic. Don’t forget where Christianity and the Muslim religions started Carl.
The Orange One has decided Google is biased against him. Sigh, Groan!!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-intersect/wp/2018/08/28/a-short-investigation-into-trumps-tweets-on-rigged-google-results-about-himself/?utm_term=.b66081be5abd&wpisrc=nl_most&wpmm=1
It seems even algorithms have a liberal bias. He’ll be suing the mirror next, for making him look ugly.
(Sorry if I already made that joke last blog, it didn’t seem to show up there.)
He would.
Bassy
Silicon Valley would have to be one of THE biggest left wing echo chambers on the planet – when I mean left wing I mean stuff like Socialism which is quite strange as they all owe their well being to rampant Capitalism.
All you have to do is visualize a bunch of highly paid technical people who have a scant idea of history and lived and worked together since they came of of university. I doubt if they could spell “History”.
Just Google it and the stories of people being ostracized because of alternate views are legion.
It is one of the reasons why Texas is getting to be so popular.
Ye Gods, we are talking about a society that is actually throwing money at proving life is just one big galactic computer game.
They are some of the smartest people on the planet when it comes to IT and making squillions but that is where it stops.
This Morrison government not 4 days old but I see the lies continue to be passed between them after they changed only the deck chairs.
https://www.skynews.com.au/details/_5827603368001
How the hell does Canavan get away with any of this when everyone knows the Fibs have zero interest in renewables or telling the truth about their filfthy agenda.
Do they actually believe the voters buy into their bullshit?
What are the odds on Warringah, Jack?
Can you believe it – just days after causing the biggest chaos his party has ever known, he’s at it again – it’s just how it started after MT’s ascension. Tiny, seemingly innocuous needles for starters. Gentle white-anting.
His remark about having ”authority” as an ex-PM should sound alarm bells. Watch your back Scott. He should have been cast out and left to his constituents to deal with his fate.
I have visions of Malcolm sitting back in a comfortable armchair with a glass of something expensive in hand laughing his head off.
Abbott $1.02 to retain, Boa. Labor cannot win that seat. A decent indy might have a shot.
Abbott was the only candidate for pre-selection in Warringah Boa, usually there’s another two potential candidates at least.
The branches still hold for Abbott in Warringah but he was unable to get his candidate Villatora into Mackellar, Manly or North Sydney when they became vacant.
I’m on the wrong side of Warringah road and just squeak into Mackellar but I’m going to volunteer to help the Labor candidate for Warringah Dean Harris as many others will be, Abbott is totally out of touch with his electorate of young families, self employed (trades, IT) its a demographic he barely acknowledges and that’s even when he bothers to turn up, nothing worse than being in a safe seat.
It will be worth it to give the self obsessed bugger a fright.
So…., the merchant banker has been punted and its now time for the punters. Fair enough.
“Sturt (SA) 5.8% Christopher Pyne (Lib) Labor paying $6.00.” now that is one bet on your early Bookies Board Market that grabbed my attention and your humble correspondent will be sending some of his “‘readies” out to work on that, Mr. Insider.
Many would be pleased if Pyne were to be sent “out to pasture”, way overdue imho.
Great column indeed.
Christopher Pyne is a liberal star performer, Henry. He’s got future PM or DPM written all over him yet plays his cards close to his chest.
If this bunch of frauds don’t get kicked into political oblivion at the next election after all the sheer grubbiness of betrayal, the ongoing torture of asylum seekers and children, their continued ignorance of climate change by loading the decks with coal barrackers & the siphoning of funds from every service relied upon by the poorest in our society, then I’ll have legitimate concerns about the voter’s willingness to be brainwashed by spin & slogans.
For Boadicea – previous blog
Re the horses deaths, why is it taking so long to get to the reason why? Is it treading on wealthy toes that’s the problem or is there no precedence in so many deaths at once on the Spirit? Should be very simple.